I'm going to go with the Astros here who come in red hot scoring 9.20 runs per 9 over their last 5 games while posting a 1.26 bullpen ERA meanwhile the Mariners who are supposed to be the better team come in on the opposite side of the spectrum scoring under 3 runs per game and a bullpen ERA over 3. Bullpen is extremely important in this one as they are likely to go to it very early and the Astros have the advantage. Seattle's bullpen has not been as good early as they were overall last year and James Paxton has been unable to go deep into games. Paxton will be on the road on 4 days rest which is no easy task for him considering he's been on normal rest all season long. He's also faced some easy talent along the way with his opponents ranking 17th, 24th, and 23rd in OPS vs. LHP. Seattle is 18th, but still come in on fire and are certainly capable of defeating him by being patient.

The Astros will start the veteran Scott Feldman who has allowed .669 OPS to the Mariners hitters and posts a 2.67 ERA over the last 3 years in April. He's off to a slow start, but really it was only 1 start that he struggled as he has had to face Oakland twice already who is the 5th ranked offense vs. RHP. In this game he can relax a bit facing Seattle who is 22nd. I just think the value is right because many are high on Seattle, but they can struggle offensively and I don't trust the young kid Paxton on the road with just 4 days of rest.

Where to find Freddy?